Coronavirus latest news: Pandemic behind us by October, says Sage member

The Clapham Grand will greet viewers at full capacity when the live performances return - Tim P Whitby / Getty
Over half of Covid hospital stays tested positive after admission
Scientists are considering 77 countries for the Green List
Covid cases fall for the sixth day in a row
Sherelle Jacobs: Tory biosurveillance fantasy is terrifying
The Delta variant can infect you again - but it is unlikely
The worst of the pandemic could be behind us by the end of September, an expert said, as the number of Covid-19 cases in the UK continued to decline.
Professor Neil Ferguson - whose modeling resulted in the first lockdown in March 2020 - said caution was still needed but offered a hopeful outlook for the fall.
Professor Ferguson of Imperial College London and a member of the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) told BBC Radio Four's Today program: “We must remain cautious, especially given the potential for renewed increases in contact rates as the weather turns and Schools Return We're not quite out of the woods yet, but the equation has fundamentally changed: the effects of vaccines greatly reduce the risk of hospital admissions and death.
“And I'm sure we'll look back on most of the pandemic by the end of September or October. We will have Covid with us, we will still have people dying from Covid, but we will have most of the pandemic behind us. "
Follow the latest updates below.
10:19 a.m.
Exclusive: Over half of Covid hospital admissions tested positive after admission
More than half of Covid hospital admissions are patients who only tested positive after admission, leaked data shows.
The numbers suggest that a large number were hospitalized by Covid when they were hospitalized with other illnesses, with the virus being detected through routine tests.
Experts said this means the national statistics, published daily on the government website and widely used by ministers, could vastly overstate the pressure on the NHS.
The leaked data - which covers all NHS trusts in England - shows that as of last Thursday, only 44 percent of patients classified as hospitalized with Covid had tested positive at the time of their admission.
Most cases weren't discovered until the patients were subjected to standard Covid tests, which were done on anyone admitted to hospital for any reason.
Laura Donnelly has the full story
09:48 am
Australia will remain closed until 2022 because of the government's "colossal failure" to buy vaccines, the former prime minister warns
The introduction of vaccines in Australia has been "a colossal failure" because the government has not bought enough vaccines, so its borders are likely to remain closed until at least early 2022, said former Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull.
Mr Turnbull said the Australian government, led by the under-attack Prime Minister Scott Morrison, had not bought enough vaccines and only secured enough AstraZeneca vaccines, despite significant concerns about that vaccine and insufficient purchases of alternatives.
"It is the greatest public administration failure I can remember," said Turnbull, who served as prime minister from 2015 to 2018 before being overthrown by Mr Morrison in a party hall coup. Only 16 percent of Australians over the age of 16 have been fully vaccinated to date.
“It was a colossal failure and the problem is you can't turn back the clock and fix what should have been done last year. The very reason we're banned - which is so frustrating when so many other parts of the world are opening up - is simply because our government hasn't bought enough vaccines, "he told the BBC.
09:12 am
Total UK Covid Deaths - 154,661
In the UK, a total of 154,661 deaths have occurred in which Covid-19 was mentioned on the death certificate, the ONS said.
The highest number of deaths in a single day was 1,483 on January 19.
During the first wave of the virus, the daily number peaked on April 8, 2020 with 1,461 deaths.
8:46 am
Weekly care home deaths in England and Wales rose slightly to 27
In the week leading up to July 16, there were around 27 deaths from nursing home residents related to Covid-19 in England and Wales, up from 20 deaths the previous week.
In total, Covid-19 has been on death certificates of 42,614 nursing home residents in England and Wales since the pandemic began.
The ONS numbers cover nursing home resident deaths in all settings, not just nursing homes.
8:42 am
Deaths in England and Wales rose 19 percent - highest since April
A total of 218 deaths recorded in England and Wales in the week ended July 16 mentioned Covid-19 on the death certificate, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) - a 19% increase from the previous week.
It's the highest total number since 260 deaths in the week ending April 23.
8:35 am
Covid around the world, in pictures
The Vaccines are playing their first live gig in two years on Radio X Presents at London's O2 Kentish Town Forum
French President Emmanuel Macron (c) arrives in the Manihi Atoll in the Tuamotu Archipelago in French Polynesia - Ludovic Marin / AFP
8:09 am
Euro 2020 caused an increase in cases, says the Scottish top medical doctor
The Scottish Government's National Clinical Director, Professor Jason Leitch, has described the country's case rate "falling dramatically".
"We had five of the top 10 municipalities in the UK, now we don't have any in the top 150," Prof. Leitch told the BBC's Today program.
"We have now seen hospital admissions go down. About 3% of positive people are hospitalized, but they are younger now, relatively healthy, and discharged more quickly. But some stay and we have had many deaths in the past few days. "
He said fan attendance at Euro 2020 had spiked in some cases but said it was "important to keep an eye on football".
"The Scotland-England game gave us a boost because of travel, not necessarily Wembley. Unfortunately, Scotland were eliminated too early from a sporting point of view. But epidemiologically, it probably did us a favor," he said.
"We have tested many of these fans and for a short time (cases) switched from 1: 1 male-female to 9: 1 male-female. Now it's 1: 1 again."
07:46 am
"We won't see how the unlocking affects us for a few weeks"
Professor Neil Ferguson of Imperial College London and a member of the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) said it was "too early to say" what impact the unblock will have and stressed that "caution" remains.
On the BBC's Today program, Professor Ferguson said, “We won't see the effects of the unblock for a few weeks.
“We need to remain cautious, especially given the potential for renewed spikes in contact rates as the weather turns less nice and schools return.
“We're not completely off the hook yet, but the equation has changed radically. The effects of vaccines greatly reduce the risk of hospital admissions and death. And I'm sure that in late September or October we'll look back on most of the pandemic.
“We will have Covid with us, we will still have people dying of Covid, but we will leave most of the pandemic behind us.
"The higher we can get vaccination coverage the better - that will protect people and reduce transmission - but uncertainty will remain until the fall."
07:19 am
Minister Says No US-UK Travel Corridor Is 'Disappointing'
A government minister said it was "disappointing" that no travel corridor with the US is currently available.
Police Minister Kit Malthouse reacted to the announcement made overnight by the US government that it would not plan any easing of travel restrictions across the Atlantic due to the number of infections in Great Britain and the highly transmissible Delta variant.
Mr Malthouse told Sky News: “Of course you have to judge that, and we also evaluate the likelihood that variants will come from other countries. So I'm not surprised that they do a similar thing. It is obviously disappointing. "
He added: “We want to go abroad again as soon as possible. I have many families abroad that I would like to visit, especially in Canada.
"I fear the end of this virus, and let's hope it is the end, we will still deal with this uncertainty around the world and people will need to take this into account when deciding on their travel plans or else."
07:17 am
NHS is as stretched now as it was at the height of the pandemic, health leaders claim
The NHS is just as tense now as it was at the height of the January pandemic, and things will get worse before they get better, health leaders said.
In a letter to Prime Minister Boris Johnson, Chancellor Rishi Sunak, Health Secretary Sajid Javid, Treasury Secretary Steve Barclay and NHS England chief Sir Simon Stevens, NHS Providers said the health service was facing a combination of pressures.
“That combination means that many Trust Chief Executives say that while the overall pressures they are facing now are very different, similar to the pressures they saw in January this year when the NHS in a. Generation was under the greatest pressure, ”the letter said.
It called on the government to make "the right decisions" next month to finalize NHS funding for the second half of the fiscal year.
The pressure on the NHS is to go "at full speed" to clear the backlog in hospitals, mental health and community services; and record need for emergency and emergency care.
The letter also pointed to growing hospital admissions for Covid-19, as well as more cases of long-term Covid and people with poor mental health.
07:09 am
Tokyo records all-time highs in the number of cases
As the Olympics resume in Japan, daily Covid-19 cases in Tokyo are rising to an all-time high of over 3,000 cases, Jiji News Agency reported on Tuesday.
07:04 am
We have to be “agile on the virus path,” says Minister
Police Minister Kit Malthouse said we may need to be "agile" in the coming weeks, although "we still have an advantage over the virus and the vaccine continues to roll out".
When asked what was meant by “agile”, he said: “Of course, agile means that you have to adapt to the path of the virus and so we have learned a lot about the virus in the last 18 months, and we have we have seen some oddities of this, we have seen some parts of the country that are prone to different variations.
“We had to make decisions about certain events or certain scenarios where a virus could be at greater risk of contagion, and that means we are moving quickly, which has confused and frustrated people, but we still know two things about it this virus: we know what it's growing very quickly, and secondly, it's going back quite slowly, and that means we have to move pretty fast, and then when we come out again we have to be careful at the same time.
"We only have a couple of weeks left until August 16 with double jabs, people will be released if they want. So we just have to go through the next two weeks and make sure we control the virus, so" we can do that unfortunately do for sure. "
07:00 a.m.
Why are the falls falling?
Police Minister Kit Malthouse is in the media this morning.
When asked by Sky News’s Kay Burley why cases have decreased, he said, “I think it probably has something to do with the start of school holidays, obviously vaccine adoption is increasing every day.
"But we have to be very careful, you know, six days of drop is great. Let's hope it goes on but we'll see what happens in the next few days, we obviously had the release of all the restrictions last Monday," pretty much back to normal life.
“We know this virus has a two to three week delay before we see the impact on the compensatory side that we saw at the start of the school holidays.
"But also remember, we usually have several million people overseas on vacation this time of year ... it's a pretty interesting cocktail of effects, so I think we'll have to wait until mid-August and see what happens," the numbers , hope they go further down, and then take the next step. "
06:46 am
The government wants to "communicate the hell" to encourage young people to get vaccinated
The police minister said the government wanted to "share hell" to encourage young people to get a Covid vaccination.
Sky News asked Kit Malthouse what was being done to increase Covid vaccine uptake among young people.
Mr Malthouse said, “We urge people to go out and get the trick and of course there are tens of thousands of people every day and that is the other reason to push as many young people as possible to get there and do it this.
"We know there is a high prevalence in these age groups, we want them to get the vaccine and we will fucking communicate that. Anything you can do to help us, parents, grandparents, friends, whatever it is. " Pushing young people to go out and get pricked is going to be fantastic. "
The minister also said he believes Covid case rates have dropped in recent days because schools have collapsed, but added that there is currently an "interesting cocktail of effects" on the virus.
He added, "Six days of drop is great. Let's hope it continues, but we'll see what happens in the next few days."
6:08 am
Today's front page
Here is your Daily Telegraph on Tuesday July 27th.
05:38 am
The Czech Republic donates 30,000 doses of vaccines to Taiwan
The Czech Republic is donating 30,000 doses of Covid-19 vaccines to Taiwan, the island's president said on Tuesday, praising the central European country for a move that could irritate China.
"This again shows that Taiwan and the Czech Republic are not only solid partners on the path to freedom and democracy, but also that a friend in need is really a good friend," said Taiwan's President Tsai Ing-wen in a statement accompanying the announcement the vaccine donation.
Since Taiwan began a rare spike in domestic cases in May, the government has received nearly six million doses of vaccine from Japan and the US, allowing it to hasten a vaccination program that was supposedly originally obstructed by China, although Beijing does not deny it play a negative role.
The Czech Republic's decision to donate vaccines to Taiwan follows similar actions by Lithuania and Slovakia.
Since the pandemic began, Taiwan has donated millions of face masks around the world, including to the Czech Republic.
People rest after receiving a dose of the Moderna vaccine in an exhibition hall in Taipei City - Reuters
04:41 am
Delta variant can infect you again - but the chances are very slim
With nine out of ten adults in England now carrying antibodies to Covid and infections seemingly on the decline, it would be tempting to believe the country's epidemic is as good as over.
However, there is growing evidence that the Delta variant is far better than previous strains at reinfecting people who have previously had the virus or have been double vaccinated.
On Friday, Public Health England (PHE) upgraded its risk rating for reinfection after natural infection from amber to red, warning that the Delta strain more than the risk of contracting Covid a second time compared to the alpha variant doubled.
So are we going to see all of our hard work undone by a wave of reinfections?
Read the full story
3:52 a.m.
China reports 71 new cases as the delta outbreak hits Nanjing
China reported 71 new Covid-19 cases on July 26, the national health agency said on Tuesday, as a Delta variant outbreak threatens the eastern city of Nanjing.
Local infections accounted for 31 of the new cases, up from 40 a day earlier, the National Health Commission said in a statement.
All local cases have been reported in eastern Jiangsu Province, where Nanjing is the capital, it said.
Based on the results of genetic testing on patients, the strain of virus that caused the coronavirus outbreak in Nanjing is the Delta strain, a Nanjing City Government official told a media conference on Tuesday.
Residents queuing in Nanjing to get a nucleic acid test for Covid-19 - News World
02:20 am
US maintains restrictions on international travel as cases increase
The US announced on Monday that it would keep the existing Covid-19 restrictions on international travel for the time being amid concerns about the rising infection rate due to the Delta variant.
It was the latest sign that the White House will need to recalibrate its thinking about the coronavirus pandemic as the more infectious variant in the US rises and a significant segment of the population opposes vaccination.
It was also a reversal of sentiment expressed by President Joe Biden earlier this month when he said his administration was "in the process" of considering how soon the US could lift the ban on European travel to the US after the problem Chancellor Angela Merkel was approached by Germany during her visit to the White House.
White House press secretary Jen Psaki said the restrictions would continue for the time being.
"Driven by the Delta variant, cases here at home are on the rise, especially among those who are not vaccinated, and are likely to continue for the coming weeks," she said.
Read more: Scientists Are Considering 77 Countries for Moving to Green List of Travel
World Wide Rally for Freedom 3.0 supporters, anti-vaccine protesters gather against coronavirus restrictions in Raleigh, North Carolina - Anadolu
11:55 pm
The Australian state sees the end of the lockdown if the cases subside
The Australian state of Victoria is expected to come out of a tough Covid-19 lockdown Tuesday as planned after fewer new cases were reported, while neighboring New South Wales rushed to track down thousands after discovering new virus clusters.
A busy mall in southwest Sydney was added to virus exposure locations, and anyone who visited over a 10-day period was classified as close contact to test and self-isolate for two weeks.
Sydney is in its fifth week of lockdown to contain a Delta variant outbreak.
The lockdown is scheduled to end on Friday, but the strict stay-at-home rules could be stretched further as new cases have stubbornly stayed above a hundred daily and many are still active in the community while contagious.
Victoria discovered 10 new local cases, up from 11 the day before, with all infections related to the recent outbreak and quarantined throughout their infection period.
11:29 pm
Today's top stories
More than half of Covid hospital admissions are patients who only tested positive after admission, leaked data shows.
Seventy-seven countries are being scrutinized by government scientists for a possible transition to the green list for quarantine-free international travel, it turns out.
With nine out of ten adults in England now carrying antibodies to Covid and infections seemingly on the decline, it would be tempting to believe the country's epidemic is as good as over.
Covid cases have declined for the sixth day in a row, despite scientists previously predicting the number of infections could soar to a high of up to 250,000.
The SNP ministers were accused of "shameless spins" after contradicting official figures that they had not missed their own Covid vaccination targets.
Downing Street has been warned that the "pingdemie" has led to panic buying and forced one in five workers in some supermarket chains to isolate as calls for a relaxation of self-isolation rules before August 16 increase.
The nightclub vaccine passport plan was enforced despite a majority of ministers calling for a postponement at a meeting just hours before its announcement.
University leaders have beaten back plans to force students to be double stabbed before attending lectures.
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