Delta variant outbreak could peak in two to three weeks, Gottlieb says
Former federal regulator Scott Gottlieb said Monday that the increase in new COVID-19 cases due to the Delta variant in the US will peak in the next few weeks, using the downward trend in new infections in the UK as a reference.
"If Britain goes around the corner, that is a pretty good sign that we may be further on than we think, and maybe two or three weeks away from seeing our own plateau here in the United States," said Gottlieb, the commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration under former President Donald Trump.
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The Delta variant in Great Britain caused an increase in new cases from the beginning of June. The outbreak has recently declined sharply. While the seven-day average of cases exceeded 47,000 on July 21, the updated weekly average of new cases fell to about 37,700 on Sunday, according to the New York Times.
Virologists spent the past year looking for clues in the UK on how mutated virus strains will affect the US. For example, the alpha strain that contributed to a surge in the US was first discovered in southern England in September 2020 and became the dominant strain in the US through April 2021.
"When we see in certain states like Florida already that the health systems are saturated, given that many vulnerable populations are being vaccinated ... not occurring in the younger population, which does not get so sick," Gottlieb said on Monday.
Nearly 80% of all seniors, who are considered most susceptible to serious illness from COVID-19, have been fully vaccinated, according to federal data. Younger people are more prone to contracting the Delta strain as far fewer people have been fully vaccinated. A changing COVID-19 testing landscape would also help ensure that cases are not reported, Gottlieb said. People who are confirmed positive by home testing are less likely to report the results to federal agencies.
“Our determination, the percentage of people who present themselves for testing and are actually recorded, is actually quite low right now. So this infectious wave has to be much more far-reaching than what we discover, which means that we are further inside than we thought, ”said Gottlieb.
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To date, approximately 69% of all adults in the US have received at least one dose of vaccine, while 60% are fully vaccinated. Federal regulators are now discussing whether to recommend booster injections amid concerns arise about the possibility that the Delta variant could bypass some of the protection provided by the COVID-19 vaccines.
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Tags: Healthcare, News, Coronavirus, Scott Gottlieb, UK, Vaccination, CDC, FDA, Trump Administration, Biden Administration
Original author: Cassidy Morrison
Original location: The outbreak of the Delta variant could reach its peak in two to three weeks, says Gottlieb
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American doctor and conservative health policy analyst
45th President of the United States
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