If You Had Bought Warehouse REIT (LON:WHR) Stock Three Years Ago, You Could Pocket A 11% Gain Today

By purchasing an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. However, if you choose individual stocks with skill, you can achieve superior returns. For example, the shareholders of Warehouse REIT plc (LON: WHR) have seen its share price rise 11% over three years, well above the market decline (20% excluding dividends). On the flip side, returns haven't been quite as good lately. Shareholders were only up 12% including dividends.
Check out our latest analysis for Warehouse REIT
To quote Buffett, “Ships will sail around the world, but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be large discrepancies between price and value in the market ... 'An incomplete but simple way to take into account how a company's perception of the market has changed is to compare the change in earnings per share (EPS) with the stock to compare price movement.
During the three-year price growth, Warehouse REIT achieved an average growth in earnings per share of 4.4% per year. The average annual share price increase of 3% is actually less than the EPS growth. So one could reasonably conclude that the market for the stock has cooled.
The company's earnings per share (over time) are shown in the figure below (click here for the exact numbers).
Earnings-per-share growth
We think it's positive that Insiders have made significant purchases over the past year. Still, most people consider earnings and sales growth trends as a more meaningful guide to business. Before buying or selling any stock, we always recommend doing a close study of the historical growth trends available here.
What about dividends?
It's important to consider total shareholder return as well as the stock price return for a given stock. While the stock price return only reflects the change in the stock price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (if reinvested) and the benefit of discounted capital raising or spin-off. For companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often much higher than the stock price return. In the case of Warehouse REIT, it has had a TSR of 29% over the past 3 years. This exceeds the previously mentioned share price return. This is mainly due to the dividend payments!
Another perspective
Fortunately, Warehouse REIT's total shareholder return was 12% last year. And yes, that includes the dividend. So this year's TSR was actually better than the three-year TSR (annualized) of 9%. Those improved returns could indicate real business momentum, meaning now could be a good time to go deeper. I find it very interesting to look at the share price as a proxy for business development over the long term. But to really gain insight, we need to consider other information as well. For example, take risks - Warehouse REIT has 5 warning signs (and 2 potentially serious ones) that we think you should be aware of.
There are many other companies that insiders buy stocks from. You probably don't want to miss this free list of growing companies who buy Insiders.
Please note that the market returns reported in this article reflect the market weighted average returns on stocks currently traded on UK stock exchanges.
This article from Simply Wall St is of a general nature. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell stocks and does not take into account your goals or your financial situation. We want to provide you with a long-term, focused analysis based on fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not take into account the latest price sensitive company announcements or quality materials. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

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