NFL Week 5 betting: 'Sharp gamblers' caused a big line move in Buccaneers-Bears on Thursday night
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers get the most bets and money on their matchup against the Chicago Bears.
You would never know from the line movement.
The line at BetMGM fell from Tampa Bay as the favorite with 5.5 points to 3. On Thursday afternoon, she moved a little back to Chicago +3.5.
Tom Brady and the Buccaneers made a nice comeback against the Los Angeles Chargers, while Nick Foles and the Chicago Bears offensive against the Indianapolis Colts looked bad last week.
The line shifts because some keener players are excited to support the bears.
The public likes Bucs, sharp ones like bears
BetMGM said 67.0% of the tickets and 52.2% of the money will be with the Buccaneers as of early Thursday afternoon. However, the line has moved in the other direction.
When you see that, it's a clear sign that someone sports betting respects is on the other side.
"Despite a sub-par performance against the Colts last Sunday, keen players are keen for the bears to report tonight," said Matt Cosgriff, sports betting manager for BetMGM. “Chicago, which opened as an underdog with 5.5 points, is now just a field goal dog against the Buccaneers. Also, bettors love our increased odds (+200 to +260) for Tom Brady to reach the top 300. BetMGM will need bear defense to slow TB12 down. "
That would help the other big market on Thursday Night Football. The over / under for the game, which is 43.5, got 69.6% of the tickets and 62.3% of the grip on the over. This follows the league-wide trend that overs hit at high speed as the number of points increases.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady, 12, will try to help his team improve to 4-1 on Thursday night. (AP Photo / Jason Behnken)
Big bet comes on bears
The line was already moving before BetMGM placed a big bet on the bears on Thursday.
After a couple of bad matchups on Thursday night in a row, week 5 should be a good one. The buccaneers and bears are both 3-1. There's a hilarious side story of Foles and Brady who were known to find themselves on the other end of Super Bowl LII and face off again. There will be a lot of action in the game and on the opposing sides.
We'll see if the harsh weather is right to fade Brady into prime time.
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