The return of the Trump rally
Donald Trump. Illustrated | Getty Images
Former President Donald Trump has launched a series of campaign-style summer rallies. What does Trump hope now that he is not in office?
What will these rallies look like?
If the first is a clue, it will be familiar scenes. In a 90-minute speech to Republicans in North Carolina at their annual convention in late May, Trump reiterated his claim that the 2020 election had been stolen from him, calling it "the crime of the century." Trump said the 2020 vote was like a "third world" election, despite the fact that his allegations were rejected as false by numerous courts and Republican electoral officials in every red state he lost.
Did he talk about anything else?
Yes, the former president threw a lot of red meat into his base during his North Carolina appearance. He made occasional nostalgic remarks about his four years in the White House, but spent a lot of time criticizing his successor, President Biden. "The Biden administration is pushing the toxic theory of critical races ... into our nation's schools," Trump said. "Joe Biden and the Socialist Democrats are the most radical Democrats in our nation's history." Trump addressed many of the topics of his Make America Great 2020 rallies, including his complaints about China, the media and big tech companies, as well as restrictions on fighting the coronavirus pandemic.
What does Trump have to gain from these rallies?
Trump has always enjoyed crowd approval at his major events, so many of Trump's advisors see this as the ideal path for Trump to emerge from his post-election Florida retreat. Facebook and Twitter suspended Trump's social media accounts in January for his messages to supporters attacking the Capitol on January 6, and Facebook was just announcing that Trump's ban would remain in place for two years. The rallies provide Trump with a familiar and uncensored soap box to get his message across after blocking other channels of communication he once used.
Why is that so important?
Trump has largely disappeared from the public eye since leaving office. With his access to social media cut off, he tried to connect with his grassroots by starting a blog, "From the Desk of Donald J. Trump," which was posted on his website, but he closed it after less than a month because there was little traffic. He made public statements, but they didn't generate the coverage he was used to as president. By strengthening his base, Trump is reportedly hoping to cement his hold on the Republican Party. Insiders say he plans to bolster GOP candidates in midterms 2022 to help the party in its efforts to regain control of the House and Senate from the Democrats and to keep its supporters firmly behind if he decides to Start a comeback presidential campaign in 2024.
How many rallies will Trump hold?
The full schedule has not yet been released, but he reportedly has two events scheduled for June and plans to hold a large rally on July 4th. One of Trump's first appearances will be in Ohio with former White House advisor Max Miller. Miller is leading a major lawsuit against Rep. Anthony Gonzalez (R-Ohio), who was one of 10 Republicans in the House of Representatives to vote for Trump's impeachment for the second time, on charges that he had the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol of a. instigated mob of his followers. Events are also planned in Florida - the home of Trump allied Governor Ron DeSantis - and Georgia, a long-red state where Trump clashed with GOP election officials over his narrow loss to Biden. Trump's senior adviser Jason Miller has said Trump will also perform in Alabama, where he is assisting Rep. Mo Brooks (R-Ala.) To fill the seat of retired Sen. Richard Shelby. Brooks was one of the Republicans who led the challenge to Biden's January 6 election victory, so for him the rally ties in with Trump's desire to punish those who accepted his election defeat and reward those who did not .
What was the reaction like to Trump's resurgence?
Some Democrats think it will be a good thing for them because they expect Trump to scold him and shut down voters. Some GOP leaders are concerned that Trump could hurt their chances of regaining control of the House and Senate if he tries to oust and replace him displeased Republican incumbents with untested newcomers. Trump advisors have tried unsuccessfully to get him to shift his focus away from debunked allegations of election fraud and focus on the GOP's priorities. A former Trump administration official said the former president's obsession with the 2020 election made him less relevant. "It's like a balloon slowly leaking out from now on the ground," said the former official.
Could Trump Really Lose GOP Support?
Some GOP strategists think so. "President Trump's insane conspiracy theories about the elections cost Republicans two runoffs in the Georgia Senate and thus our seat at the table in Washington," said Michael Steel, a former advisor to House Speaker John Boehner and Jeb Bush's 2016 presidential campaign. Trump Support among Republicans is strong but has decreased since election day. A poll by the NBC / Wall Street Journal in April found that 52 percent of Republicans saw themselves as party members first and 44 percent as Trump supporters. In September, the same poll found that 53 percent saw themselves primarily as Trump supporters, while only 37 percent saw themselves primarily as GOP supporters.
Will that be enough to keep Trump in control?
It works so far. Opposition to Trump has resulted in MP Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) Recently being ousted from her leadership position in the GOP House when she criticized Trump for making false claims that his election was stolen. The loyalty of Trump's supporters seems as strong as ever - a third of Republicans now believe he will be reinstated in a few months. Presidential historian Michael Beschloss said Trump avoided the fate of other ex-presidents who were instantly weakened after losing in re-election. "It's great when the yardstick is that politicians are afraid of him, which in Washington is a yardstick of power," said Beschloss. "Many Republican leaders are afraid of him and humiliate themselves in front of him." Trump adviser Jason Miller put it this way: "There are two types of Republicans on the Beltway," Miller said. "Those who recognize that President Trump is the leader of the Republican Party and those who deny it."
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